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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-27 19:45

Leicester – Wigan

Home 47% 2.13 fair
Draw 26% 3.79 fair
Away 27% 3.74 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Leicester – Wigan
FINAL Actual Result 3–0 Leicester – Wigan
Expected Goals2.53
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 44.5% → 46.9% +2.4 pp
Draw 27.0% → 26.4% -0.7 pp
Away 28.5% → 26.7% -1.8 pp
Over 2.5 42.5% → 46.4% +3.9 pp
Both teams to score 47.4% → 50.1% +2.7 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.53 +0.15
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.53
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.14 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.9% 2.13 —
26.4% 3.79 —
26.7% 3.74 —
73.3% 1.36 —
53.1% 1.88 —
73.6% 1.36 —

Half-time result

45.5% 2.2 —
36.1% 2.77 —
18.4% 5.43 —

Half-time double chance

81.6% 1.23 —
54.5% 1.83 —
63.9% 1.56 —

Both halves

12.4% 8.08 —

HT/FT

36.3% 2.76 —
7.1% 14.12 —
9.8% 10.19 —
16.0% 6.25 —
10.3% 9.74 —
3.3% 30.49 —
14.3% 7.0 —

HT/FT double chance

69.2% 1.45 —
58.5% 1.71 —
35.5% 2.82 —
47.5% 2.11 —
53.5% 1.87 —
26.8% 3.73 —
29.9% 3.34 —
35.2% 2.84 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Total goals

91.9% 1.09 —
71.8% 1.39 —
46.4% 2.16 —
25.3% 3.95 —
28.2% 3.55 —
53.6% 1.86 —
74.7% 1.34 —

1st-half goals

75.8% 1.32 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Home team goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.6% 2.3 —

Away team goals

65.0% 1.54 —
28.3% 3.53 —

Both to score

50.1% 2.0 —

Corners

80.2% 1.25 —
71.2% 1.4 —
61.8% 1.62 —
52.0% 1.92 —
42.7% 2.34 —
28.7% 3.48 —
38.2% 2.62 —
47.9% 2.09 —
57.3% 1.74 —

Home corners

78.6% 1.27 —
65.8% 1.52 —
52.3% 1.91 —

Away corners

68.0% 1.47 —
52.8% 1.89 —
38.4% 2.6 —

Cards

74.1% 1.35 —
56.4% 1.77 —
39.1% 2.56 —
25.2% 3.97 —
43.6% 2.29 —
61.0% 1.64 —
74.8% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds