Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-24 14:00
Stevenage – Milton Keynes Dons
Home
56%
1.79 fair
Draw
26%
3.88 fair
Away
18%
5.43 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Stevenage – Milton Keynes Dons
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Stevenage – Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals2.26
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.6%
→
55.8%
+8.2 pp
Draw
29.4%
→
25.8%
-3.6 pp
Away
23.0%
→
18.4%
-4.6 pp
Over 2.5
32.7%
→
40.0%
+7.3 pp
Both teams to score
38.5%
→
41.2%
+2.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.02 →
2.26
+0.24
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Both halves
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.25 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.35 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.3 | — | |||
| 6.7% | 15.04 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.75 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — |
Total goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.53 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Away team goals
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — |
Both to score
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — |
Corners
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — |
Away corners
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.66 | — |
Cards
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.21 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds