Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-24 14:00
Reading – Barnsley
Home
55%
1.8 fair
Draw
21%
4.73 fair
Away
23%
4.28 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Reading – Barnsley
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Reading – Barnsley
Expected Goals3.36
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.3%
→
55.4%
+3.2 pp
Draw
22.1%
→
21.2%
-1.0 pp
Away
25.6%
→
23.4%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.8%
→
65.1%
+1.3 pp
Both teams to score
63.3%
→
63.6%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.29 →
3.36
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.88 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.65 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.19 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Total goals
| 96.4% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.49 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.2% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Away team goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Both to score
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Away corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Cards
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds