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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-24 14:00

Blackpool – Mansfield

Home 41% 2.46 fair
Draw 26% 3.89 fair
Away 34% 2.97 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Blackpool – Mansfield
FINAL Actual Result 1–4 Blackpool – Mansfield
Expected Goals2.68
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 42.4% → 40.7% -1.7 pp
Draw 26.1% → 25.7% -0.4 pp
Away 31.5% → 33.6% +2.1 pp
Over 2.5 51.4% → 50.2% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 55.2% → 54.0% -1.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.73 → 2.68 -0.05
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.68
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.56 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.75 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.7% 2.46 —
25.7% 3.89 —
33.6% 2.97 —
66.4% 1.51 —
59.3% 1.69 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

30.9% 3.23 —
42.7% 2.34 —
26.3% 3.8 —

Half-time double chance

73.7% 1.36 —
69.0% 1.45 —
57.3% 1.75 —

Both halves

10.8% 9.29 —

HT/FT

23.8% 4.2 —
5.0% 19.88 —
14.5% 6.87 —
15.6% 6.42 —
12.6% 7.95 —
5.1% 19.53 —
18.9% 5.28 —

HT/FT double chance

59.0% 1.7 —
53.1% 1.88 —
35.3% 2.83 —
36.2% 2.76 —
47.1% 2.12 —
31.2% 3.21 —
37.5% 2.66 —
48.4% 2.07 —
52.2% 1.91 —

Total goals

93.0% 1.07 —
74.5% 1.34 —
50.2% 1.99 —
28.2% 3.55 —
25.4% 3.93 —
49.8% 2.01 —
71.8% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

69.3% 1.44 —
33.7% 2.96 —

Home team goals

75.6% 1.32 —
41.7% 2.4 —

Away team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.8% 2.79 —

Both to score

54.0% 1.85 —

Corners

68.8% 1.45 —
58.1% 1.72 —
47.4% 2.11 —
37.2% 2.69 —
27.7% 3.61 —
41.9% 2.39 —
52.6% 1.9 —
62.8% 1.59 —
72.3% 1.38 —

Home corners

65.5% 1.53 —
49.8% 2.01 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Away corners

64.8% 1.54 —
49.1% 2.04 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Cards

68.7% 1.46 —
49.6% 2.02 —
32.9% 3.04 —
19.8% 5.06 —
50.4% 1.98 —
67.1% 1.49 —
80.2% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds