Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-24 11:30
Luton – Leicester
Home
52%
1.92 fair
Draw
21%
4.85 fair
Away
27%
3.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Luton – Leicester
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Luton – Leicester
Expected Goals3.64
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.570%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.8%
→
52.1%
+1.3 pp
Draw
22.0%
→
20.6%
-1.4 pp
Away
27.2%
→
27.2%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
62.9%
→
70.4%
+7.5 pp
Both teams to score
62.9%
→
68.4%
+5.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.27 →
3.64
+0.37
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
Both halves
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.65 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.68 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.17 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.26 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.7 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.54 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Total goals
| 87.5% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.02 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — |
1st-half goals
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Home team goals
| 87.9% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Both to score
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
Corners
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Home corners
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Away corners
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Cards
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds