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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-21 19:00

Reading – Leyton Orient

Home 47% 2.12 fair
Draw 24% 4.11 fair
Away 29% 3.5 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Reading – Leyton Orient
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Reading – Leyton Orient
Expected Goals2.9
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 47.1% → 47.1% -0.1 pp
Draw 24.2% → 24.3% +0.1 pp
Away 28.6% → 28.6% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 56.3% → 55.4% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 58.1% → 57.7% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.93 → 2.9 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.26 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

47.1% 2.12 —
24.3% 4.11 —
28.6% 3.5 —
71.4% 1.4 —
52.9% 1.89 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

39.0% 2.57 —
41.4% 2.42 —
19.6% 5.09 —

Half-time double chance

80.4% 1.24 —
61.0% 1.64 —
58.6% 1.71 —

Both halves

13.8% 7.23 —

HT/FT

30.2% 3.31 —
6.2% 16.21 —
14.8% 6.75 —
14.1% 7.07 —
12.4% 8.03 —
4.0% 24.81 —
13.5% 7.4 —

HT/FT double chance

65.3% 1.53 —
60.1% 1.67 —
35.4% 2.83 —
42.5% 2.36 —
48.4% 2.07 —
26.3% 3.8 —
35.1% 2.85 —
42.9% 2.33 —
44.1% 2.27 —

Total goals

94.3% 1.06 —
78.5% 1.27 —
55.4% 1.81 —
33.1% 3.02 —
21.5% 4.64 —
44.6% 2.24 —
66.9% 1.5 —

1st-half goals

69.9% 1.43 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Home team goals

80.7% 1.24 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Away team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.0% 2.85 —

Both to score

57.7% 1.73 —

Corners

66.1% 1.51 —
55.2% 1.81 —
43.9% 2.28 —
33.9% 2.95 —
25.0% 4.0 —
44.8% 2.23 —
56.1% 1.78 —
66.1% 1.51 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

64.5% 1.55 —
48.1% 2.08 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Away corners

62.3% 1.6 —
46.0% 2.18 —
31.5% 3.18 —

Cards

69.0% 1.45 —
50.0% 2.0 —
32.8% 3.05 —
20.1% 4.99 —
50.0% 2.0 —
67.2% 1.49 —
79.9% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds