Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-20 18:45
Stevenage – Plymouth
Home
34%
2.96 fair
Draw
29%
3.5 fair
Away
38%
2.66 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Stevenage – Plymouth
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Stevenage – Plymouth
Expected Goals2.33
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.9%
→
33.8%
-0.1 pp
Draw
27.6%
→
28.6%
+1.0 pp
Away
38.5%
→
37.6%
-0.9 pp
Over 2.5
43.3%
→
41.0%
-2.3 pp
Both teams to score
49.5%
→
47.6%
-1.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.33
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.54 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Both halves
| 7.3% | 13.66 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.81 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Total goals
| 90.2% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Both to score
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 70.2% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — |
Away corners
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Cards
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds