Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-20 18:45
Notts County – Sheffield Weds
Home
13%
7.5 fair
Draw
21%
4.67 fair
Away
65%
1.53 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Notts County – Sheffield Weds
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Notts County – Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score43%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
18.8%
→
13.3%
-5.4 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
21.4%
-5.4 pp
Away
54.4%
→
65.2%
+10.9 pp
Over 2.5
37.4%
→
48.1%
+10.6 pp
Both teams to score
40.1%
→
43.4%
+3.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.19 →
2.59
+0.4
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 13.3% | 7.5 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 5.1% | 19.46 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.4% | 11.88 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.2 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.81 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
Total goals
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Home team goals
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Both to score
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — |
Corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — |
Away corners
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Cards
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds