Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-20 18:45
Luton – Barnsley
Home
55%
1.83 fair
Draw
21%
4.77 fair
Away
24%
4.09 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Luton – Barnsley
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Luton – Barnsley
Expected Goals3.54
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.7%
→
54.6%
+1.9 pp
Draw
21.3%
→
21.0%
-0.3 pp
Away
26.0%
→
24.4%
-1.6 pp
Over 2.5
65.9%
→
68.6%
+2.6 pp
Both teams to score
64.9%
→
66.6%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.41 →
3.54
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Both halves
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.85 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.48 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.75 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.95 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.12 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — |
Total goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.41 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.1% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Both to score
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Corners
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Home corners
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — |
Away corners
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
Cards
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds