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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-20 18:45

Burton – Bradford

Home 27% 3.66 fair
Draw 30% 3.31 fair
Away 42% 2.36 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 0-1 Burton – Bradford
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Burton – Bradford
Expected Goals2.04
Both teams to score40%
Over 2.533%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.8% → 27.4% -1.5 pp
Draw 30.2% → 30.2% 0.0 pp
Away 40.9% → 42.4% +1.5 pp
Over 2.5 35.3% → 33.2% -2.1 pp
Both teams to score 42.4% → 40.2% -2.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.11 → 2.04 -0.07
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 0-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.26 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

27.4% 3.66 —
30.2% 3.31 —
42.4% 2.36 —
57.6% 1.74 —
72.7% 1.38 —
69.8% 1.43 —

Half-time result

27.4% 3.66 —
50.1% 2.0 —
22.6% 4.43 —

Half-time double chance

77.4% 1.29 —
72.7% 1.38 —
49.9% 2.0 —

Both halves

4.9% 20.53 —

HT/FT

17.8% 5.62 —
6.6% 15.22 —
8.9% 11.17 —
20.9% 4.78 —
20.2% 4.95 —
19.2% 5.2 —

HT/FT double chance

54.2% 1.84 —
50.0% 2.0 —
50.7% 1.97 —
27.7% 3.61 —
40.6% 2.46 —
31.5% 3.17 —
33.2% 3.01 —
49.0% 2.04 —
63.1% 1.58 —

Total goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.3% 1.66 —
33.2% 3.01 —
15.0% 6.68 —
39.7% 2.52 —
66.8% 1.5 —
85.0% 1.18 —

1st-half goals

58.0% 1.73 —
21.2% 4.72 —

Home team goals

58.6% 1.71 —
21.6% 4.62 —

Away team goals

68.7% 1.46 —
32.4% 3.09 —

Both to score

40.2% 2.49 —

Corners

71.4% 1.4 —
60.9% 1.64 —
50.0% 2.0 —
39.8% 2.51 —
30.6% 3.27 —
39.1% 2.56 —
50.0% 2.0 —
60.2% 1.66 —
69.4% 1.44 —

Home corners

61.7% 1.62 —
45.6% 2.19 —
31.3% 3.19 —

Away corners

71.4% 1.4 —
56.8% 1.76 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Cards

75.9% 1.32 —
58.9% 1.7 —
41.6% 2.4 —
27.1% 3.69 —
41.1% 2.43 —
58.4% 1.71 —
72.9% 1.37 —

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