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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-20 18:45

AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield

Home 28% 3.54 fair
Draw 27% 3.74 fair
Away 45% 2.22 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield
FINAL Actual Result 0–3 AFC Wimbledon – Mansfield
Expected Goals2.51
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 29.8% → 28.2% -1.6 pp
Draw 26.6% → 26.8% +0.2 pp
Away 43.6% → 45.0% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 44.9% → 45.9% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 50.2% → 50.5% +0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.47 → 2.51 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.33 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.52 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.2% 3.54 —
26.8% 3.74 —
45.0% 2.22 —
55.0% 1.82 —
71.8% 1.39 —
73.3% 1.37 —

Half-time result

26.7% 3.74 —
42.5% 2.35 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Half-time double chance

69.2% 1.45 —
73.3% 1.36 —
57.5% 1.74 —

Both halves

5.7% 17.51 —

HT/FT

17.8% 5.6 —
6.0% 16.69 —
9.3% 10.8 —
16.6% 6.01 —
16.6% 6.04 —
4.1% 24.33 —
25.6% 3.91 —

HT/FT double chance

49.8% 2.01 —
46.6% 2.15 —
42.1% 2.38 —
29.1% 3.44 —
47.4% 2.11 —
38.6% 2.59 —
31.1% 3.21 —
52.5% 1.9 —
62.9% 1.59 —

Total goals

91.8% 1.09 —
71.9% 1.39 —
45.9% 2.18 —
24.3% 4.11 —
28.1% 3.55 —
54.1% 1.85 —
75.7% 1.32 —

1st-half goals

69.3% 1.44 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Home team goals

66.2% 1.51 —
29.2% 3.42 —

Away team goals

76.2% 1.31 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Both to score

50.5% 1.98 —

Corners

66.8% 1.5 —
55.7% 1.79 —
44.9% 2.23 —
34.8% 2.88 —
26.4% 3.79 —
44.3% 2.26 —
55.1% 1.81 —
65.2% 1.53 —
73.7% 1.36 —

Home corners

67.0% 1.49 —
51.5% 1.94 —
36.9% 2.71 —

Away corners

60.1% 1.67 —
44.0% 2.27 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Cards

65.0% 1.54 —
45.6% 2.19 —
28.5% 3.51 —
16.6% 6.03 —
54.4% 1.84 —
71.5% 1.4 —
83.4% 1.2 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds