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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17 14:00

Wigan – Reading

Home 30% 3.37 fair
Draw 28% 3.62 fair
Away 43% 2.34 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Wigan – Reading
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Wigan – Reading
Expected Goals2.39
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 31.7% → 29.7% -2.0 pp
Draw 27.9% → 27.6% -0.2 pp
Away 40.4% → 42.7% +2.2 pp
Over 2.5 41.7% → 42.7% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 47.6% → 48.1% +0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.35 → 2.39 +0.04
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.67 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.62 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.7% 3.37 —
27.6% 3.62 —
42.7% 2.34 —
57.3% 1.74 —
70.3% 1.42 —
72.4% 1.38 —

Half-time result

19.1% 5.25 —
47.1% 2.12 —
33.9% 2.95 —

Half-time double chance

66.1% 1.51 —
81.0% 1.24 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Both halves

5.5% 18.18 —

HT/FT

13.6% 7.37 —
3.9% 25.71 —
13.8% 7.26 —
17.9% 5.59 —
15.4% 6.5 —
5.8% 17.12 —
25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT double chance

49.1% 2.04 —
44.3% 2.26 —
38.8% 2.58 —
25.7% 3.9 —
43.2% 2.31 —
37.0% 2.7 —
39.9% 2.51 —
57.2% 1.75 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Total goals

90.8% 1.1 —
68.7% 1.45 —
42.7% 2.34 —
22.1% 4.51 —
31.3% 3.2 —
57.3% 1.74 —
77.8% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

62.1% 1.61 —
25.9% 3.87 —

Home team goals

65.5% 1.53 —
29.0% 3.45 —

Away team goals

73.5% 1.36 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Both to score

48.1% 2.08 —

Corners

69.3% 1.44 —
58.9% 1.7 —
48.0% 2.08 —
38.0% 2.63 —
28.8% 3.47 —
41.1% 2.43 —
52.0% 1.92 —
62.0% 1.61 —
71.2% 1.41 —

Home corners

73.9% 1.35 —
59.1% 1.69 —
44.7% 2.24 —

Away corners

56.4% 1.77 —
40.0% 2.5 —
26.3% 3.81 —

Cards

66.8% 1.5 —
47.1% 2.12 —
30.2% 3.31 —
17.7% 5.65 —
52.9% 1.89 —
69.8% 1.43 —
82.3% 1.21 —

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