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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17 14:00

Sheffield Weds – AFC Wimbledon

Home 71% 1.41 fair
Draw 19% 5.33 fair
Away 10% 9.81 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-0 Sheffield Weds – AFC Wimbledon
FINAL Actual Result 5–0 Sheffield Weds – AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals2.71
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 71.3% → 71.0% -0.2 pp
Draw 19.1% → 18.8% -0.4 pp
Away 9.6% → 10.2% +0.6 pp
Over 2.5 47.9% → 51.0% +3.1 pp
Both teams to score 37.9% → 40.8% +3.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.6 → 2.71 +0.11
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.71
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.45 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

71.0% 1.41 —
18.8% 5.33 —
10.2% 9.81 —
89.8% 1.11 —
28.9% 3.45 —
81.2% 1.23 —

Half-time result

48.6% 2.06 —
41.2% 2.43 —
10.2% 9.78 —

Half-time double chance

89.8% 1.11 —
51.4% 1.95 —
58.8% 1.7 —

Both halves

28.0% 3.58 —

HT/FT

44.4% 2.25 —
3.4% 29.07 —
23.9% 4.18 —
12.4% 8.05 —
4.9% 20.62 —
4.6% 21.79 —

HT/FT double chance

84.2% 1.19 —
73.9% 1.35 —
21.4% 4.66 —
53.5% 1.87 —
52.5% 1.91 —
11.7% 8.56 —
42.0% 2.38 —
36.1% 2.77 —
24.8% 4.04 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.3% 1.33 —
51.0% 1.96 —
28.8% 3.47 —
24.7% 4.05 —
49.0% 2.04 —
71.2% 1.4 —

1st-half goals

66.0% 1.52 —
29.6% 3.38 —

Home team goals

87.4% 1.14 —
61.4% 1.63 —

Away team goals

46.6% 2.15 —
13.6% 7.37 —

Both to score

40.8% 2.45 —

Corners

77.6% 1.29 —
68.3% 1.46 —
57.9% 1.73 —
47.5% 2.11 —
37.9% 2.64 —
31.7% 3.16 —
42.1% 2.38 —
52.5% 1.9 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Home corners

79.2% 1.26 —
66.6% 1.5 —
52.9% 1.89 —

Away corners

61.9% 1.62 —
45.6% 2.19 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Cards

63.7% 1.57 —
44.0% 2.27 —
27.5% 3.64 —
15.6% 6.39 —
56.0% 1.79 —
72.5% 1.38 —
84.4% 1.19 —

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