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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17

Leicester Doncaster

Home 42% 2.38 fair
Draw 27% 3.72 fair
Away 31% 3.21 fair
Expected Goals2.54
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.547%

No market odds available — goals from model only

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals expected 2.54
0
1
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7+
Total corners expected 10.69 awaiting league sample
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) expected 4.12 awaiting league sample
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10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.0% 2.38
26.9% 3.72
31.1% 3.21
68.9% 1.45
58.0% 1.72
73.1% 1.37

Half-time result

41.9% 2.38
40.6% 2.46
17.5% 5.72

Half-time double chance

82.5% 1.21
58.1% 1.72
59.4% 1.68

Both halves

11.1% 9.05

HT/FT

30.6% 3.26
8.1% 12.41
3.2% 30.86
10.5% 9.55
15.7% 6.35
14.4% 6.96
3.1% 32.68
13.5% 7.39

HT/FT double chance

64.9% 1.54
58.7% 1.7
41.4% 2.41
42.6% 2.34
48.3% 2.07
27.9% 3.59
30.1% 3.32
39.3% 2.55
46.7% 2.14

Total goals

92.1% 1.09
72.0% 1.39
46.5% 2.15
25.1% 3.98
28.0% 3.58
53.5% 1.87
74.9% 1.34

1st-half goals

69.3% 1.44
32.9% 3.04

Home team goals

75.0% 1.33
40.4% 2.47

Away team goals

68.4% 1.46
31.7% 3.15

Both to score

51.4% 1.95

Corners

77.7% 1.29
68.4% 1.46
58.3% 1.71
48.5% 2.06
38.7% 2.58
31.6% 3.16
41.7% 2.4
51.5% 1.94
61.3% 1.63

Home corners

82.0% 1.22
70.2% 1.43
56.7% 1.76

Away corners

57.9% 1.73
41.4% 2.42
27.5% 3.64

Cards

74.1% 1.35
56.5% 1.77
39.1% 2.56
25.2% 3.97
43.5% 2.3
60.9% 1.64
74.8% 1.34

model · fair · market (no margin) · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds