Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17 14:00
Leicester – Doncaster
Home
36%
2.79 fair
Draw
26%
3.8 fair
Away
38%
2.64 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Leicester – Doncaster
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Leicester – Doncaster
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.0%
→
35.8%
-6.2 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
26.3%
-0.5 pp
Away
31.1%
→
37.9%
+6.7 pp
Over 2.5
46.5%
→
47.8%
+1.2 pp
Both teams to score
51.4%
→
52.7%
+1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.59
+0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.62 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.39 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.48 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Total goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Home corners
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Away corners
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — |
Cards
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds