Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17 11:30
Milton Keynes Dons – Luton
Home
21%
4.81 fair
Draw
22%
4.63 fair
Away
58%
1.73 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Milton Keynes Dons – Luton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Milton Keynes Dons – Luton
Expected Goals3.08
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.1%
→
20.8%
-7.3 pp
Draw
25.7%
→
21.6%
-4.1 pp
Away
46.3%
→
57.7%
+11.4 pp
Over 2.5
51.3%
→
59.4%
+8.1 pp
Both teams to score
54.6%
→
57.8%
+3.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.72 →
3.08
+0.36
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.7% | 8.52 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.18 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.95 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.46 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.0% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Away corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Cards
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds