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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-17

Milton Keynes Dons – Luton

Home 28% 3.56 fair
Draw 26% 3.9 fair
Away 46% 2.16 fair
Expected Goals2.72
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.551%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.63 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.78 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.1% 3.56 —
25.7% 3.9 —
46.3% 2.16 —
53.7% 1.86 —
71.9% 1.39 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Half-time result

24.0% 4.17 —
37.8% 2.64 —
38.2% 2.62 —

Half-time double chance

61.8% 1.62 —
76.0% 1.32 —
62.2% 1.61 —

Both halves

6.2% 16.21 —

HT/FT

17.1% 5.84 —
4.9% 20.62 —
9.3% 10.79 —
15.4% 6.48 —
13.1% 7.62 —
5.4% 18.62 —
31.1% 3.21 —

HT/FT double chance

46.7% 2.14 —
41.5% 2.41 —
35.4% 2.82 —
29.0% 3.45 —
51.9% 1.93 —
43.4% 2.31 —
31.8% 3.15 —
55.2% 1.81 —
65.1% 1.54 —

Total goals

93.2% 1.07 —
75.7% 1.32 —
51.3% 1.95 —
29.2% 3.42 —
24.3% 4.12 —
48.7% 2.05 —
70.8% 1.41 —

1st-half goals

75.9% 1.32 —
42.1% 2.38 —

Home team goals

68.8% 1.45 —
32.6% 3.06 —

Away team goals

79.0% 1.27 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Both to score

54.6% 1.83 —

Corners

77.0% 1.3 —
68.0% 1.47 —
57.9% 1.73 —
47.8% 2.09 —
38.0% 2.63 —
32.0% 3.12 —
42.1% 2.37 —
52.2% 1.91 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Home corners

67.4% 1.48 —
52.0% 1.92 —
37.3% 2.68 —

Away corners

75.8% 1.32 —
62.1% 1.61 —
47.9% 2.09 —

Cards

69.3% 1.44 —
49.8% 2.01 —
33.2% 3.02 —
20.3% 4.93 —
50.2% 1.99 —
66.8% 1.5 —
79.7% 1.25 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds