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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-07 12:30

Leeds – Tottenham

Home 42% 2.38 fair
Draw 25% 3.93 fair
Away 33% 3.08 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Leeds – Tottenham
FINAL Actual Result 1–0 Leeds – Tottenham
Expected Goals2.75
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.8% → 42.0% -4.8 pp
Draw 24.3% → 25.4% +1.1 pp
Away 28.8% → 32.5% +3.7 pp
Over 2.5 55.0% → 51.7% -3.3 pp
Both teams to score 57.5% → 55.6% -1.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.88 → 2.75 -0.13
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.75
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.24 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

42.0% 2.38 —
25.4% 3.93 —
32.5% 3.08 —
67.5% 1.48 —
58.0% 1.73 —
74.5% 1.34 —

Half-time result

44.5% 2.25 —
41.7% 2.4 —
13.9% 7.2 —

Half-time double chance

86.1% 1.16 —
55.5% 1.8 —
58.3% 1.71 —

Both halves

11.2% 8.96 —

HT/FT

30.9% 3.24 —
8.8% 11.34 —
4.8% 20.88 —
10.3% 9.7 —
14.4% 6.93 —
16.9% 5.9 —
10.8% 9.26 —

HT/FT double chance

64.4% 1.55 —
62.9% 1.59 —
45.0% 2.22 —
42.7% 2.34 —
47.3% 2.11 —
26.6% 3.76 —
27.8% 3.59 —
38.9% 2.57 —
44.4% 2.25 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.3% 1.31 —
51.7% 1.93 —
29.6% 3.38 —
23.7% 4.22 —
48.3% 2.07 —
70.4% 1.42 —

1st-half goals

67.0% 1.49 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Home team goals

77.1% 1.3 —
43.8% 2.28 —

Away team goals

72.1% 1.39 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Both to score

55.6% 1.8 —

Corners

74.7% 1.34 —
64.6% 1.55 —
54.0% 1.85 —
43.9% 2.28 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.4% 2.83 —
46.0% 2.17 —
56.1% 1.78 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Home corners

66.7% 1.5 —
50.4% 1.98 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away corners

72.8% 1.37 —
58.0% 1.72 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Cards

73.3% 1.36 —
56.2% 1.78 —
39.7% 2.52 —
26.2% 3.82 —
43.8% 2.28 —
60.3% 1.66 —
73.8% 1.36 —

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