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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-24 16:30

Chelsea – Tottenham

Home 57% 1.76 fair
Draw 21% 4.86 fair
Away 23% 4.4 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-1 Chelsea – Tottenham
FINAL Actual Result 0–2 Chelsea – Tottenham
Expected Goals3.36
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.565%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 54.7% → 56.7% +2.0 pp
Draw 21.6% → 20.6% -1.1 pp
Away 23.7% → 22.8% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 64.0% → 65.1% +1.1 pp
Both teams to score 62.9% → 63.0% +0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.3 → 3.36 +0.06
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.08 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.16 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

56.7% 1.76 —
20.6% 4.86 —
22.8% 4.4 —
77.2% 1.29 —
43.3% 2.31 —
79.4% 1.26 —

Half-time result

51.2% 1.95 —
32.7% 3.05 —
16.1% 6.21 —

Half-time double chance

83.9% 1.19 —
48.8% 2.05 —
67.3% 1.49 —

Both halves

20.3% 4.92 —

HT/FT

41.9% 2.39 —
6.4% 15.67 —
12.8% 7.81 —
10.8% 9.29 —
9.2% 10.92 —
3.4% 29.41 —
10.7% 9.37 —

HT/FT double chance

71.8% 1.39 —
66.8% 1.5 —
29.2% 3.42 —
53.7% 1.86 —
57.5% 1.74 —
23.4% 4.28 —
29.0% 3.45 —
34.7% 2.89 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Total goals

96.4% 1.04 —
84.5% 1.18 —
65.1% 1.54 —
43.2% 2.31 —
15.4% 6.47 —
34.9% 2.87 —
56.8% 1.76 —

1st-half goals

79.7% 1.25 —
47.8% 2.09 —

Home team goals

87.8% 1.14 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Away team goals

71.6% 1.4 —
36.0% 2.78 —

Both to score

63.0% 1.59 —

Corners

80.5% 1.24 —
72.2% 1.38 —
62.7% 1.6 —
52.5% 1.9 —
42.6% 2.35 —
27.8% 3.6 —
37.4% 2.68 —
47.5% 2.11 —
57.4% 1.74 —

Home corners

80.2% 1.25 —
67.5% 1.48 —
53.7% 1.86 —

Away corners

68.2% 1.47 —
52.8% 1.89 —
37.8% 2.65 —

Cards

83.6% 1.2 —
69.6% 1.44 —
54.3% 1.84 —
40.1% 2.49 —
30.4% 3.29 —
45.7% 2.19 —
59.9% 1.67 —

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