Fixtures / EPL / 2026-10-17 14:00
Man City – Ipswich
Home
88%
1.13 fair
Draw
8%
12.5 fair
Away
4%
26.18 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
3-0
Man City – Ipswich
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Man City – Ipswich
Expected Goals4.24
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.579%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
88.9%
→
88.2%
-0.7 pp
Draw
7.8%
→
8.0%
+0.2 pp
Away
3.3%
→
3.8%
+0.5 pp
Over 2.5
79.7%
→
79.2%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
48.2%
→
48.3%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
4.27 →
4.24
-0.03
Most Likely Score
3-0
→
3-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.5 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 96.2% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.46 | — | |||
| 92.0% | 1.09 | — |
Half-time result
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — |
Both halves
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — |
HT/FT
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.3 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.29 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.85 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 7.6% | 13.07 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 90.8% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — |
Both to score
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
Away corners
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.87 | — |
Cards
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds