Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-21
Stoke – Birmingham
Home
36%
2.79 fair
Draw
28%
3.51 fair
Away
36%
2.8 fair
Expected Goals2.31
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.9%
→
35.8%
-3.1 pp
Draw
28.3%
→
28.5%
+0.2 pp
Away
32.9%
→
35.7%
+2.8 pp
Over 2.5
40.8%
→
40.8%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
46.8%
→
47.1%
+0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.31 →
2.31
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 7.7% | 13.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.66 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.85 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.86 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — |
Total goals
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — |
Both to score
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
Away corners
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — |
Cards
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds