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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-21

Sheffield United – Watford

Home 55% 1.81 fair
Draw 24% 4.12 fair
Away 20% 4.9 fair
Expected Goals2.6
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 51.8% → 55.3% +3.5 pp
Draw 25.5% → 24.3% -1.2 pp
Away 22.7% → 20.4% -2.3 pp
Over 2.5 46.2% → 48.5% +2.3 pp
Both teams to score 48.7% → 49.1% +0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.6 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.61 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

55.3% 1.81 —
24.3% 4.12 —
20.4% 4.9 —
79.6% 1.26 —
44.7% 2.24 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Half-time result

50.8% 1.97 —
36.6% 2.73 —
12.6% 7.95 —

Half-time double chance

87.4% 1.14 —
49.2% 2.03 —
63.4% 1.58 —

Both halves

16.7% 5.98 —

HT/FT

41.8% 2.39 —
6.9% 14.56 —
12.4% 8.04 —
14.8% 6.77 —
9.4% 10.65 —
8.9% 11.26 —

HT/FT double chance

75.9% 1.32 —
65.8% 1.52 —
33.2% 3.01 —
52.4% 1.91 —
53.9% 1.86 —
20.6% 4.86 —
30.9% 3.24 —
31.8% 3.15 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Total goals

92.4% 1.08 —
73.2% 1.37 —
48.5% 2.06 —
26.5% 3.78 —
26.9% 3.72 —
51.5% 1.94 —
73.5% 1.36 —

1st-half goals

73.4% 1.36 —
39.2% 2.55 —

Home team goals

81.1% 1.23 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Away team goals

60.4% 1.66 —
23.4% 4.27 —

Both to score

49.1% 2.04 —

Corners

77.9% 1.28 —
68.4% 1.46 —
58.5% 1.71 —
48.0% 2.08 —
38.0% 2.63 —
31.6% 3.16 —
41.5% 2.41 —
52.0% 1.92 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Home corners

82.2% 1.22 —
70.3% 1.42 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Away corners

59.3% 1.69 —
42.3% 2.36 —
27.7% 3.61 —

Cards

82.2% 1.22 —
67.6% 1.48 —
51.2% 1.95 —
36.2% 2.76 —
32.4% 3.09 —
48.8% 2.05 —
63.8% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds