Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-21
Middlesbrough – Bristol City
Home
57%
1.76 fair
Draw
23%
4.34 fair
Away
20%
4.98 fair
Expected Goals2.78
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.9%
→
56.9%
+4.0 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
23.0%
-1.0 pp
Away
23.1%
→
20.1%
-3.0 pp
Over 2.5
52.8%
→
52.4%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
53.9%
→
51.8%
-2.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.79 →
2.78
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.61 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.55 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.1 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.21 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.52 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.79 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — |
Both to score
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Home corners
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Away corners
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
Cards
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds