Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-21
Bolton – Portsmouth
Home
38%
2.61 fair
Draw
25%
4.08 fair
Away
37%
2.69 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
19 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
45.4%
→
38.3%
-7.0 pp
Draw
23.6%
→
24.5%
+1.0 pp
Away
31.1%
→
37.1%
+6.1 pp
Over 2.5
61.6%
→
57.6%
-4.0 pp
Both teams to score
62.9%
→
60.4%
-2.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.19 →
3.0
-0.19
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 9.3% | 10.74 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.24 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.09 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.98 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — |
Both to score
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Home corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Cards
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds