Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-21
Southampton – Derby
Home
61%
1.63 fair
Draw
20%
4.92 fair
Away
18%
5.49 fair
Expected Goals3.27
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.564%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.93 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.08 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.99 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.03 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.3 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.7 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Both to score
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 83.0% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Away corners
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — |
Cards
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds