Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-07 15:00
Watford – Middlesbrough
Home
27%
3.76 fair
Draw
24%
4.1 fair
Away
49%
2.04 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Watford – Middlesbrough
FINAL
Actual Result
0–0
Watford – Middlesbrough
Expected Goals2.72
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.6%
→
26.6%
-2.0 pp
Draw
26.0%
→
24.4%
-1.6 pp
Away
45.4%
→
49.0%
+3.6 pp
Over 2.5
49.0%
→
51.2%
+2.2 pp
Both teams to score
53.0%
→
53.9%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
2.64 →
2.72
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.96 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.79 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.5 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — |
Both to score
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
Corners
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Away corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Cards
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds