Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-07 15:00
Preston – Southampton
Home
19%
5.19 fair
Draw
21%
4.66 fair
Away
59%
1.69 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Preston – Southampton
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Preston – Southampton
Expected Goals3.04
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
23.0%
→
19.2%
-3.7 pp
Draw
22.5%
→
21.4%
-1.0 pp
Away
54.6%
→
59.3%
+4.7 pp
Over 2.5
60.8%
→
58.9%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
60.2%
→
56.5%
-3.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.14 →
3.04
-0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 3.4% | 29.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.0% | 9.07 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.22 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.03 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.04 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Total goals
| 95.2% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Both to score
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — |
Home corners
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — |
Away corners
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Cards
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.35 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds