Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-07 15:00
Cardiff – Burnley
Home
26%
3.89 fair
Draw
26%
3.88 fair
Away
48%
2.06 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Cardiff – Burnley
FINAL
Actual Result
5–4
Cardiff – Burnley
Expected Goals2.6
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
19.7%
→
25.7%
+6.0 pp
Draw
25.5%
→
25.8%
+0.3 pp
Away
54.8%
→
48.5%
-6.3 pp
Over 2.5
43.7%
→
48.4%
+4.7 pp
Both teams to score
45.1%
→
51.5%
+6.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.6
+0.18
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.52 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Both to score
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Corners
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
Away corners
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.64 | — |
Cards
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds