Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-07 15:00
Birmingham – Swansea
Home
47%
2.13 fair
Draw
27%
3.76 fair
Away
26%
3.79 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Birmingham – Swansea
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Birmingham – Swansea
Expected Goals2.46
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.2%
→
47.0%
+6.8 pp
Draw
27.9%
→
26.6%
-1.3 pp
Away
31.9%
→
26.4%
-5.5 pp
Over 2.5
42.6%
→
44.2%
+1.6 pp
Both teams to score
48.1%
→
48.4%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.38 →
2.46
+0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.38 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.16 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.08 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.85 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Total goals
| 91.3% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Both to score
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — |
Corners
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Away corners
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — |
Cards
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds