Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-06
Derby – Bolton
Home
53%
1.9 fair
Draw
22%
4.47 fair
Away
25%
4.0 fair
Expected Goals3.08
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.34 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
HT/FT
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.15 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.31 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.04 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.37 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.3 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Both to score
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
Away corners
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — |
Cards
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds