Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-04 19:45
Wrexham – Middlesbrough
Home
34%
2.94 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
42%
2.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Wrexham – Middlesbrough
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Wrexham – Middlesbrough
Expected Goals3.04
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.5%
→
34.0%
-2.5 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
23.6%
-0.6 pp
Away
39.3%
→
42.4%
+3.1 pp
Over 2.5
58.5%
→
58.7%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
60.9%
→
60.4%
-0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.02 →
3.04
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Both halves
| 8.6% | 11.56 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.84 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.53 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.63 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.19 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.45 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Total goals
| 95.3% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — |
Away team goals
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — |
Both to score
| 60.4% | 1.65 | — |
Corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
Away corners
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — |
Cards
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.22 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds