Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03 20:00
Birmingham – Millwall
Home
41%
2.45 fair
Draw
28%
3.53 fair
Away
31%
3.24 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Birmingham – Millwall
FINAL
Actual Result
3–0
Birmingham – Millwall
Expected Goals2.32
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.541%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.1%
→
40.8%
+3.7 pp
Draw
28.7%
→
28.4%
-0.3 pp
Away
34.2%
→
30.8%
-3.4 pp
Over 2.5
39.2%
→
41.0%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
45.8%
→
46.9%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.26 →
2.32
+0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 10.2% | 9.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.11 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.46 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.45 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Total goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Both to score
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — |
Corners
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
Home corners
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Cards
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds