Fixtures / National League / 2026-11-28
Carlisle – Sutton
Home
65%
1.54 fair
Draw
20%
5.01 fair
Away
15%
6.6 fair
Expected Goals3.12
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.5%
→
64.9%
+1.4 pp
Draw
19.1%
→
20.0%
+0.9 pp
Away
17.4%
→
15.2%
-2.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.0%
→
60.0%
-3.0 pp
Both teams to score
57.6%
→
54.5%
-3.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.25 →
3.12
-0.13
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.6 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
HT/FT
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.53 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.67 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.53 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.5% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Both to score
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — |
Corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — |
Away corners
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 22.8% | 4.4 | — |
Cards
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds