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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03 19:45

QPR – Burnley

Home 29% 3.44 fair
Draw 27% 3.75 fair
Away 44% 2.26 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 QPR – Burnley
FINAL Actual Result 1–1 QPR – Burnley
Expected Goals2.58
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 23.6% → 29.1% +5.4 pp
Draw 26.7% → 26.7% -0.1 pp
Away 49.6% → 44.2% -5.4 pp
Over 2.5 42.8% → 47.5% +4.7 pp
Both teams to score 46.2% → 52.2% +6.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.38 → 2.58 +0.2
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.58
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.27 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.88 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.1% 3.44 —
26.7% 3.75 —
44.2% 2.26 —
55.8% 1.79 —
70.9% 1.41 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Half-time result

22.3% 4.48 —
38.0% 2.63 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Half-time double chance

60.3% 1.66 —
77.7% 1.29 —
62.0% 1.61 —

Both halves

6.3% 15.92 —

HT/FT

16.8% 5.94 —
4.1% 24.21 —
10.3% 9.74 —
16.4% 6.11 —
11.4% 8.8 —
6.2% 16.26 —
31.5% 3.17 —

HT/FT double chance

47.6% 2.1 —
39.8% 2.51 —
33.2% 3.01 —
29.1% 3.43 —
51.7% 1.93 —
43.2% 2.32 —
34.8% 2.88 —
55.1% 1.81 —
65.4% 1.53 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
72.9% 1.37 —
47.5% 2.1 —
26.0% 3.84 —
27.2% 3.68 —
52.4% 1.91 —
74.0% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

74.7% 1.34 —
39.8% 2.51 —

Home team goals

67.7% 1.48 —
31.2% 3.2 —

Away team goals

76.7% 1.3 —
42.5% 2.35 —

Both to score

52.2% 1.91 —

Corners

66.5% 1.5 —
55.5% 1.8 —
44.2% 2.26 —
33.8% 2.96 —
25.0% 4.0 —
44.5% 2.24 —
55.8% 1.79 —
66.2% 1.51 —
75.0% 1.33 —

Home corners

66.2% 1.51 —
50.3% 1.99 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Away corners

60.7% 1.65 —
44.4% 2.25 —
29.7% 3.37 —

Cards

70.9% 1.41 —
51.7% 1.93 —
34.4% 2.91 —
21.3% 4.68 —
48.2% 2.07 —
65.6% 1.52 —
78.6% 1.27 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds