Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03 19:45
Portsmouth – Swansea
Home
36%
2.76 fair
Draw
27%
3.64 fair
Away
36%
2.76 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Portsmouth – Swansea
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Portsmouth – Swansea
Expected Goals2.42
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.3%
→
36.2%
+2.0 pp
Draw
26.7%
→
27.5%
+0.7 pp
Away
39.0%
→
36.3%
-2.7 pp
Over 2.5
46.7%
→
43.2%
-3.5 pp
Both teams to score
51.7%
→
49.3%
-2.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.55 →
2.42
-0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — |
Both halves
| 8.5% | 11.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.76 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.66 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.56 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
Total goals
| 91.4% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Both to score
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — |
Cards
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds