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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03 19:45

Blackburn – Stoke

Home 40% 2.5 fair
Draw 29% 3.44 fair
Away 31% 3.24 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Blackburn – Stoke
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Blackburn – Stoke
Expected Goals2.19
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.537%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 41.4% → 40.0% -1.4 pp
Draw 29.0% → 29.1% +0.1 pp
Away 29.5% → 30.9% +1.4 pp
Over 2.5 36.4% → 37.1% +0.7 pp
Both teams to score 42.9% → 44.0% +1.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.16 → 2.19 +0.03
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.59 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.08 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

40.0% 2.5 —
29.1% 3.44 —
30.9% 3.24 —
69.1% 1.45 —
60.0% 1.67 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Half-time result

26.6% 3.76 —
47.6% 2.1 —
25.8% 3.87 —

Half-time double chance

74.2% 1.35 —
73.4% 1.36 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Both halves

9.3% 10.8 —

HT/FT

21.3% 4.7 —
4.1% 24.33 —
16.7% 6.0 —
19.4% 5.16 —
11.5% 8.67 —
5.6% 17.76 —
18.1% 5.51 —

HT/FT double chance

61.4% 1.63 —
50.7% 1.97 —
36.2% 2.76 —
33.1% 3.02 —
42.7% 2.34 —
29.1% 3.44 —
43.7% 2.29 —
48.4% 2.07 —
54.7% 1.83 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.13 —
64.2% 1.56 —
37.1% 2.69 —
17.6% 5.68 —
35.8% 2.79 —
62.9% 1.59 —
82.4% 1.21 —

1st-half goals

61.7% 1.62 —
24.7% 4.05 —

Home team goals

69.5% 1.44 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Away team goals

63.3% 1.58 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Both to score

44.0% 2.28 —

Corners

77.8% 1.29 —
68.4% 1.46 —
57.8% 1.73 —
47.5% 2.11 —
37.7% 2.66 —
31.6% 3.16 —
42.2% 2.37 —
52.5% 1.9 —
62.3% 1.6 —

Home corners

76.2% 1.31 —
62.3% 1.6 —
48.1% 2.08 —

Away corners

67.4% 1.48 —
51.7% 1.93 —
37.1% 2.7 —

Cards

73.2% 1.37 —
55.5% 1.8 —
38.1% 2.62 —
24.6% 4.07 —
44.5% 2.25 —
61.9% 1.62 —
75.4% 1.33 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds