Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-31 15:00
Southampton – QPR
Home
64%
1.56 fair
Draw
19%
5.15 fair
Away
16%
6.08 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Southampton – QPR
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Southampton – QPR
Expected Goals3.24
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
66.4%
→
64.1%
-2.3 pp
Draw
17.9%
→
19.4%
+1.5 pp
Away
15.7%
→
16.5%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
66.2%
→
62.8%
-3.4 pp
Both teams to score
58.9%
→
57.0%
-1.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.43 →
3.24
-0.19
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.0 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 25.1% | 3.99 | — |
HT/FT
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.34 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.3 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.65 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Total goals
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Both to score
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
Away corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Cards
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.37 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds