Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-31 15:00
Millwall – Derby
Home
47%
2.11 fair
Draw
27%
3.75 fair
Away
26%
3.87 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Millwall – Derby
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Millwall – Derby
Expected Goals2.41
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.5%
→
47.5%
-0.0 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
26.6%
+0.8 pp
Away
26.7%
→
25.9%
-0.8 pp
Over 2.5
44.0%
→
43.7%
-0.3 pp
Both teams to score
47.4%
→
47.5%
+0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.42 →
2.41
-0.01
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.3% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 13.2% | 7.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — | |||
| 17.9% | 5.6 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.52 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.74 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — |
Total goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
1st-half goals
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
Both to score
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
Home corners
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — |
Cards
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds