Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 14:00
Wolves – Watford
Home
63%
1.58 fair
Draw
20%
5.05 fair
Away
17%
5.97 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Wolves – Watford
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Wolves – Watford
Expected Goals3.12
Both teams to score55%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
71.8%
→
63.4%
-8.4 pp
Draw
16.1%
→
19.8%
+3.7 pp
Away
12.1%
→
16.7%
+4.7 pp
Over 2.5
67.5%
→
60.0%
-7.5 pp
Both teams to score
56.6%
→
55.4%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.5 →
3.12
-0.38
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.1% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
HT/FT
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.46 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.71 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.9 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.51 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.15 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.11 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.39 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.0% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Both to score
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Away corners
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — |
Cards
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds