Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 14:00
West Ham – Southampton
Home
66%
1.51 fair
Draw
17%
6.01 fair
Away
17%
5.91 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
West Ham – Southampton
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
West Ham – Southampton
Expected Goals4.11
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.577%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
64.4%
→
66.4%
+2.0 pp
Draw
15.5%
→
16.6%
+1.1 pp
Away
20.1%
→
16.9%
-3.2 pp
Over 2.5
84.7%
→
77.5%
-7.2 pp
Both teams to score
77.5%
→
69.8%
-7.7 pp
Expected Goals
4.74 →
4.11
-0.63
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 23.7% | 4.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.17 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.78 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.69 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.96 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — |
Both to score
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
Corners
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — |
Cards
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds