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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 14:00

Stoke – Bristol City

Home 39% 2.57 fair
Draw 28% 3.58 fair
Away 33% 3.02 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Stoke – Bristol City
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Stoke – Bristol City
Expected Goals2.34
Both teams to score47%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 37.7% → 39.0% +1.3 pp
Draw 28.0% → 27.9% -0.1 pp
Away 34.3% → 33.1% -1.2 pp
Over 2.5 42.1% → 41.8% -0.3 pp
Both teams to score 48.1% → 47.5% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.36 → 2.34 -0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.29 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.0% 2.57 —
27.9% 3.58 —
33.1% 3.02 —
66.9% 1.5 —
61.1% 1.64 —
72.1% 1.39 —

Half-time result

34.4% 2.9 —
45.4% 2.2 —
20.1% 4.97 —

Half-time double chance

79.9% 1.25 —
65.6% 1.53 —
54.6% 1.83 —

Both halves

9.6% 10.42 —

HT/FT

25.6% 3.91 —
6.2% 16.13 —
12.2% 8.17 —
18.1% 5.51 —
15.0% 6.64 —
3.6% 28.01 —
15.4% 6.49 —

HT/FT double chance

62.2% 1.61 —
55.5% 1.8 —
42.0% 2.38 —
36.5% 2.74 —
44.8% 2.23 —
27.9% 3.59 —
35.1% 2.85 —
43.9% 2.28 —
52.2% 1.92 —

Total goals

90.2% 1.11 —
67.7% 1.48 —
41.8% 2.39 —
21.0% 4.75 —
32.3% 3.1 —
58.2% 1.72 —
79.0% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

63.9% 1.56 —
27.5% 3.64 —

Home team goals

70.8% 1.41 —
35.4% 2.83 —

Away team goals

67.0% 1.49 —
30.5% 3.27 —

Both to score

47.5% 2.11 —

Corners

75.5% 1.33 —
65.5% 1.53 —
54.9% 1.82 —
44.5% 2.25 —
34.8% 2.87 —
34.5% 2.9 —
45.1% 2.22 —
55.5% 1.8 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Home corners

77.4% 1.29 —
64.4% 1.55 —
50.1% 2.0 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
44.7% 2.24 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Cards

70.3% 1.42 —
51.8% 1.93 —
34.3% 2.91 —
21.3% 4.7 —
48.2% 2.07 —
65.7% 1.52 —
78.7% 1.27 —

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