Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 14:00
Cardiff – Birmingham
Home
33%
3.02 fair
Draw
26%
3.86 fair
Away
41%
2.44 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Cardiff – Birmingham
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Cardiff – Birmingham
Expected Goals2.69
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.1%
→
33.1%
+1.0 pp
Draw
27.2%
→
25.9%
-1.3 pp
Away
40.7%
→
40.9%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
45.0%
→
50.1%
+5.1 pp
Both teams to score
50.2%
→
54.3%
+4.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.47 →
2.69
+0.22
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 7.1% | 14.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 6.6% | 15.27 | — | |||
| 7.4% | 13.46 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.45 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.95 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.87 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Total goals
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.4 | — |
Both to score
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — |
Cards
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds