Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 11:30
Sheffield United – Derby
Home
50%
2.0 fair
Draw
25%
4.01 fair
Away
25%
4.0 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sheffield United – Derby
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Sheffield United – Derby
Expected Goals2.63
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.8%
→
50.1%
+2.2 pp
Draw
24.9%
→
24.9%
+0.0 pp
Away
27.3%
→
25.0%
-2.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
49.2%
+1.2 pp
Both teams to score
50.8%
→
51.0%
+0.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.58 →
2.63
+0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 15.7% | 6.37 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.16 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.77 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.94 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.11 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — |
Both to score
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Away corners
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — |
Cards
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds