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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 11:30

Portsmouth – Millwall

Home 34% 2.97 fair
Draw 27% 3.65 fair
Away 39% 2.57 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Portsmouth – Millwall
FINAL Actual Result 2–1 Portsmouth – Millwall
Expected Goals2.39
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.1% → 33.6% +1.5 pp
Draw 26.8% → 27.4% +0.6 pp
Away 41.0% → 39.0% -2.1 pp
Over 2.5 44.6% → 43.0% -1.7 pp
Both teams to score 49.3% → 48.8% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.46 → 2.39 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.16 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.02 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

33.6% 2.97 —
27.4% 3.65 —
39.0% 2.57 —
61.0% 1.64 —
66.4% 1.51 —
72.6% 1.38 —

Half-time result

21.8% 4.6 —
48.0% 2.08 —
30.2% 3.31 —

Half-time double chance

69.8% 1.43 —
78.2% 1.28 —
52.0% 1.92 —

Both halves

6.9% 14.41 —

HT/FT

16.2% 6.18 —
4.0% 25.25 —
15.2% 6.59 —
18.1% 5.53 —
14.8% 6.76 —
5.4% 18.62 —
22.6% 4.43 —

HT/FT double chance

53.4% 1.87 —
47.8% 2.09 —
38.5% 2.6 —
27.8% 3.6 —
42.6% 2.35 —
33.5% 2.98 —
40.9% 2.45 —
54.8% 1.82 —
60.8% 1.64 —

Total goals

90.7% 1.1 —
69.1% 1.45 —
43.0% 2.33 —
22.1% 4.53 —
30.9% 3.24 —
57.0% 1.75 —
77.9% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

61.0% 1.64 —
24.3% 4.11 —

Home team goals

68.0% 1.47 —
31.8% 3.15 —

Away team goals

71.4% 1.4 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Both to score

48.8% 2.05 —

Corners

81.7% 1.22 —
73.2% 1.37 —
63.3% 1.58 —
53.2% 1.88 —
43.5% 2.3 —
26.8% 3.73 —
36.7% 2.73 —
46.8% 2.14 —
56.5% 1.77 —

Home corners

84.1% 1.19 —
72.6% 1.38 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Away corners

63.6% 1.57 —
47.1% 2.12 —
32.3% 3.1 —

Cards

72.4% 1.38 —
54.1% 1.85 —
37.1% 2.7 —
23.4% 4.28 —
45.9% 2.18 —
62.9% 1.59 —
76.6% 1.31 —

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