Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-23 19:00
Bolton – Middlesbrough
Home
33%
3.05 fair
Draw
25%
4.05 fair
Away
43%
2.35 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Bolton – Middlesbrough
FINAL
Actual Result
1–5
Bolton – Middlesbrough
Expected Goals2.97
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.1%
→
32.7%
+4.7 pp
Draw
21.7%
→
24.7%
+3.0 pp
Away
50.2%
→
42.5%
-7.7 pp
Over 2.5
64.6%
→
57.0%
-7.5 pp
Both teams to score
63.8%
→
59.7%
-4.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.33 →
2.97
-0.36
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 32.7% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 8.0% | 12.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 7.0% | 14.22 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.12 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.27 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.21 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Both to score
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
Home corners
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — |
Away corners
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — |
Cards
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds