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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28

Wigan – Plymouth

Home 29% 3.43 fair
Draw 27% 3.65 fair
Away 43% 2.3 fair
Expected Goals2.45
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.544%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.4% → 29.2% +0.8 pp
Draw 26.6% → 27.4% +0.8 pp
Away 45.0% → 43.4% -1.6 pp
Over 2.5 46.3% → 44.0% -2.2 pp
Both teams to score 51.0% → 49.4% -1.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.53 → 2.45 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.4 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.61 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

29.2% 3.43 —
27.4% 3.65 —
43.4% 2.3 —
56.6% 1.77 —
70.8% 1.41 —
72.6% 1.38 —

Half-time result

24.8% 4.04 —
42.2% 2.37 —
33.1% 3.03 —

Half-time double chance

67.0% 1.49 —
75.3% 1.33 —
57.8% 1.73 —

Both halves

5.9% 16.89 —

HT/FT

17.4% 5.74 —
5.2% 19.27 —
10.2% 9.78 —
17.5% 5.72 —
14.5% 6.89 —
4.7% 21.14 —
26.8% 3.73 —

HT/FT double chance

50.3% 1.99 —
44.3% 2.26 —
39.3% 2.54 —
28.9% 3.47 —
47.9% 2.09 —
38.9% 2.57 —
33.9% 2.95 —
53.0% 1.89 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Total goals

91.3% 1.1 —
70.0% 1.43 —
44.0% 2.27 —
23.5% 4.25 —
30.0% 3.33 —
56.0% 1.79 —
76.5% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

69.4% 1.44 —
33.2% 3.01 —

Home team goals

65.9% 1.52 —
29.0% 3.44 —

Away team goals

74.8% 1.34 —
39.7% 2.52 —

Both to score

49.4% 2.02 —

Corners

75.2% 1.33 —
65.7% 1.52 —
55.6% 1.8 —
45.7% 2.19 —
36.0% 2.78 —
34.3% 2.92 —
44.4% 2.25 —
54.3% 1.84 —
64.0% 1.56 —

Home corners

73.2% 1.37 —
59.8% 1.67 —
45.4% 2.2 —

Away corners

66.7% 1.5 —
51.0% 1.96 —
36.8% 2.72 —

Cards

79.6% 1.26 —
63.8% 1.57 —
47.1% 2.12 —
32.0% 3.12 —
36.2% 2.76 —
52.9% 1.89 —
68.0% 1.47 —

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