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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28

Sheffield Weds – Reading

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 25% 3.97 fair
Away 26% 3.78 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.552%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 58.3% → 48.3% -9.9 pp
Draw 22.7% → 25.2% +2.5 pp
Away 19.1% → 26.5% +7.4 pp
Over 2.5 50.2% → 52.1% +1.8 pp
Both teams to score 49.4% → 54.3% +4.9 pp
Expected Goals 2.69 → 2.76 +0.07
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.33 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.63 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.3% 2.07 —
25.2% 3.97 —
26.5% 3.78 —
73.6% 1.36 —
51.7% 1.94 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

36.4% 2.75 —
44.3% 2.26 —
19.3% 5.19 —

Half-time double chance

80.7% 1.24 —
63.6% 1.57 —
55.7% 1.8 —

Both halves

14.4% 6.94 —

HT/FT

28.6% 3.49 —
5.4% 18.55 —
17.3% 5.78 —
15.4% 6.5 —
11.6% 8.6 —
4.5% 22.47 —
12.4% 8.04 —

HT/FT double chance

66.7% 1.5 —
60.0% 1.67 —
34.8% 2.88 —
40.9% 2.45 —
45.8% 2.18 —
24.6% 4.06 —
39.5% 2.53 —
43.8% 2.29 —
43.9% 2.28 —

Total goals

93.3% 1.07 —
75.9% 1.32 —
52.1% 1.92 —
30.0% 3.33 —
24.1% 4.15 —
47.9% 2.09 —
70.0% 1.43 —

1st-half goals

65.5% 1.53 —
29.1% 3.44 —

Home team goals

80.0% 1.25 —
48.3% 2.07 —

Away team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
31.6% 3.16 —

Both to score

54.3% 1.84 —

Corners

75.1% 1.33 —
65.5% 1.53 —
54.9% 1.82 —
44.6% 2.24 —
35.2% 2.84 —
34.5% 2.9 —
45.1% 2.21 —
55.4% 1.81 —
64.8% 1.54 —

Home corners

77.2% 1.29 —
63.3% 1.58 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Away corners

60.8% 1.64 —
44.7% 2.24 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Cards

66.5% 1.5 —
47.6% 2.1 —
30.8% 3.25 —
18.2% 5.49 —
52.4% 1.91 —
69.2% 1.44 —
81.8% 1.22 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds