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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28

Leicester – Mansfield

Home 46% 2.17 fair
Draw 23% 4.28 fair
Away 31% 3.27 fair
Expected Goals3.17
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.6% → 46.1% +7.5 pp
Draw 25.4% → 23.4% -2.0 pp
Away 36.0% → 30.6% -5.4 pp
Over 2.5 53.3% → 61.1% +7.8 pp
Both teams to score 57.1% → 62.6% +5.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.81 → 3.17 +0.36
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.58 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.99 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.1% 2.17 —
23.4% 4.28 —
30.6% 3.27 —
69.4% 1.44 —
53.9% 1.85 —
76.6% 1.3 —

Half-time result

41.2% 2.43 —
32.8% 3.05 —
26.1% 3.84 —

Half-time double chance

74.0% 1.35 —
58.8% 1.7 —
67.2% 1.49 —

Both halves

13.8% 7.25 —

HT/FT

32.9% 3.04 —
5.9% 16.95 —
11.1% 9.05 —
12.5% 7.98 —
9.2% 10.87 —
4.9% 20.28 —
19.0% 5.25 —

HT/FT double chance

62.4% 1.6 —
55.5% 1.8 —
30.0% 3.34 —
45.8% 2.18 —
56.4% 1.77 —
32.2% 3.1 —
30.6% 3.27 —
41.4% 2.42 —
45.7% 2.19 —

Total goals

95.7% 1.04 —
82.7% 1.21 —
61.1% 1.64 —
38.7% 2.58 —
17.3% 5.79 —
38.9% 2.57 —
61.3% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

82.4% 1.21 —
51.3% 1.95 —

Home team goals

82.9% 1.21 —
52.7% 1.9 —

Away team goals

75.4% 1.33 —
40.7% 2.45 —

Both to score

62.6% 1.6 —

Corners

76.6% 1.31 —
67.2% 1.49 —
57.6% 1.74 —
47.4% 2.11 —
37.6% 2.66 —
32.8% 3.05 —
42.4% 2.36 —
52.6% 1.9 —
62.3% 1.6 —

Home corners

77.3% 1.29 —
63.9% 1.56 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Away corners

63.7% 1.57 —
48.1% 2.08 —
34.0% 2.94 —

Cards

72.0% 1.39 —
53.6% 1.86 —
36.6% 2.74 —
23.1% 4.33 —
46.4% 2.16 —
63.4% 1.58 —
76.9% 1.3 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds