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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28

AFC Wimbledon – Barnsley

Home 30% 3.28 fair
Draw 25% 3.99 fair
Away 44% 2.25 fair
Expected Goals2.79
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 32.5% → 30.5% -2.0 pp
Draw 25.5% → 25.1% -0.4 pp
Away 42.0% → 44.5% +2.5 pp
Over 2.5 52.0% → 53.1% +1.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.0% → 56.0% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 2.77 → 2.79 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.86 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.55 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

30.5% 3.28 —
25.1% 3.99 —
44.5% 2.25 —
55.5% 1.8 —
69.5% 1.44 —
74.9% 1.33 —

Half-time result

26.1% 3.84 —
41.8% 2.39 —
32.2% 3.11 —

Half-time double chance

67.8% 1.47 —
73.9% 1.35 —
58.2% 1.72 —

Both halves

6.8% 14.75 —

HT/FT

17.6% 5.69 —
5.6% 17.76 —
11.1% 9.05 —
14.8% 6.76 —
15.9% 6.27 —
4.7% 21.51 —
25.7% 3.9 —

HT/FT double chance

49.0% 2.04 —
47.4% 2.11 —
39.2% 2.55 —
29.7% 3.37 —
47.9% 2.09 —
38.8% 2.58 —
32.4% 3.09 —
54.5% 1.83 —
61.0% 1.64 —

Total goals

93.6% 1.07 —
76.8% 1.3 —
53.1% 1.88 —
30.5% 3.27 —
23.2% 4.31 —
46.9% 2.13 —
69.5% 1.44 —

1st-half goals

69.8% 1.43 —
33.1% 3.02 —

Home team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away team goals

78.6% 1.27 —
46.0% 2.18 —

Both to score

56.0% 1.78 —

Corners

78.8% 1.27 —
70.2% 1.43 —
60.5% 1.65 —
50.4% 1.98 —
40.6% 2.47 —
29.8% 3.35 —
39.5% 2.53 —
49.6% 2.02 —
59.4% 1.68 —

Home corners

76.6% 1.3 —
63.2% 1.58 —
49.4% 2.03 —

Away corners

68.9% 1.45 —
53.2% 1.88 —
39.0% 2.56 —

Cards

65.6% 1.53 —
45.9% 2.18 —
28.7% 3.48 —
16.8% 5.95 —
54.1% 1.85 —
71.3% 1.4 —
83.2% 1.2 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds