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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28

Milton Keynes Dons – Notts County

Home 37% 2.68 fair
Draw 27% 3.77 fair
Away 36% 2.76 fair
Expected Goals2.51
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.546%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 38.6% → 37.3% -1.3 pp
Draw 29.8% → 26.5% -3.3 pp
Away 31.7% → 36.2% +4.5 pp
Over 2.5 34.3% → 45.6% +11.3 pp
Both teams to score 41.5% → 50.9% +9.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.08 → 2.51 +0.43
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.34 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.3% 2.68 —
26.5% 3.77 —
36.2% 2.76 —
63.8% 1.57 —
62.7% 1.59 —
73.5% 1.36 —

Half-time result

24.0% 4.17 —
51.5% 1.94 —
24.5% 4.08 —

Half-time double chance

75.5% 1.33 —
76.0% 1.32 —
48.5% 2.06 —

Both halves

7.8% 12.74 —

HT/FT

17.5% 5.71 —
4.3% 23.42 —
17.4% 5.76 —
17.6% 5.67 —
16.4% 6.08 —
4.6% 21.69 —
17.5% 5.71 —

HT/FT double chance

56.8% 1.76 —
53.5% 1.87 —
40.6% 2.46 —
28.8% 3.47 —
39.6% 2.52 —
28.6% 3.5 —
42.0% 2.38 —
53.7% 1.86 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Total goals

92.1% 1.09 —
71.2% 1.4 —
45.6% 2.19 —
24.6% 4.07 —
28.8% 3.47 —
54.4% 1.84 —
75.4% 1.33 —

1st-half goals

56.2% 1.78 —
20.0% 5.0 —

Home team goals

71.9% 1.39 —
36.1% 2.77 —

Away team goals

71.1% 1.41 —
35.5% 2.82 —

Both to score

50.9% 1.96 —

Corners

75.3% 1.33 —
65.4% 1.53 —
54.9% 1.82 —
44.7% 2.24 —
35.5% 2.82 —
34.6% 2.89 —
45.1% 2.22 —
55.3% 1.81 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Home corners

74.5% 1.34 —
60.6% 1.65 —
46.4% 2.16 —

Away corners

64.8% 1.54 —
48.9% 2.05 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Cards

74.5% 1.34 —
56.9% 1.76 —
40.1% 2.49 —
26.0% 3.85 —
43.1% 2.32 —
59.9% 1.67 —
74.0% 1.35 —

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