Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-17 14:00
Southampton – Bolton
Home
68%
1.47 fair
Draw
17%
6.0 fair
Away
15%
6.46 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Southampton – Bolton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–0
Southampton – Bolton
Expected Goals3.82
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.573%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
72.7%
→
67.8%
-4.9 pp
Draw
14.8%
→
16.7%
+1.9 pp
Away
12.5%
→
15.5%
+3.0 pp
Over 2.5
76.9%
→
73.5%
-3.4 pp
Both teams to score
65.1%
→
65.0%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
4.06 →
3.82
-0.24
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.27 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.6 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.01 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.96 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.23 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.93 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.44 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Total goals
| 89.3% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.35 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — |
Both to score
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — |
Corners
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — |
Home corners
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Away corners
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Cards
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds